Description: The SOA's Committee on Finance Research is please to make available the results of this research project, jointly sponsored by the SOA and CAS, that explores economic series and provides and Excel based tool for generating future economic scenarios. This is an Excel Spreadsheet for Appendix C showing Simulated Financial Scenario Data of inflation rates and interest rates from this research project. Please see the SOA website for the full report and other related spreadsheets.

Description: The American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries have joined resources to maintain this Economic Scenario Generators Excel Workbook tool for use in regulatory reserve and capital calculations. Please see the SOA website research pages for further information on this tool and how to use it.

Description: The class involves a combination of presentations, class participation, in-class exercises and structured hands-on work with the MA BPT in small workgroups. Prior to this course, participants are expected to spend 3 to 10 hours preparing, depending on prior experience level.

Description: The class involves a combination of presentations, class participation, in-class exercises and structured hands-on work with the MA BPT in small workgroups. Prior to this course, participants are expected to spend 3 to 10 hours preparing, depending on prior experience level.

Description: Predictive modeling has ranked highly in terms of technical skills desired by employers of actuaries. In recent surveys it has been identified as a key opportunity for actuarial professionals to add more value to their organizations. While there has been an increased focus on predictive modeling at industry conferences, the subject lends itself very well to a hands-on learning experience. That is one of the motivations behind organizing this boot camp.

Description: The American Academy of Actuaries and the Society of Actuaries have joined resources to maintain this Economic Scenario Generators Excel Workbook tool for use in regulatory reserve and capital calculations. Please see the SOA website research pages for further information on this tool and how to use it.

Description: The class involves a combination of presentations, class participation, in-class exercises and structured hands-on work with the MA BPT in small workgroups. Prior to this course, participants are expected to spend 3 to 10 hours preparing, depending on prior experience level.

Description: Predictive modeling has ranked highly in terms of technical skills desired by employers of actuaries. In recent surveys it has been identified as a key opportunity for actuarial professionals to add more value to their organizations. While there has been an increased focus on predictive modeling at industry conferences, the subject lends itself very well to a hands-on learning experience. That is one of the motivations behind organizing this boot camp.

Description: In January 1998, the NAIC Life and Health Actuarial Technical Task Force asked the Society of Actuaries to address disability reserving issues. The reason for this request was that the NAIC had received reports that statutory reserves based on the current morbidity tables frequently fail the tests of adequacy and reasonableness. Further, they requested that this review extend to contract and claim reserves and across all lines of disability insurance - group and individual, and short- and long-term. They also requested help in establishing when it is appropriate for a company to use its own experience in valuation. This report represents a recommendation to the NAIC for an interim update to the 1985 CIDA Table for Individual Disability claim reserves. This zip file contains the final report and appendices.

Description: Healthcare costs have been rising faster than general inflation for many years. Early models that predicted this past pattern projected healthcare expenditure growth that continued to outpace total expenditure growth leading to the fallacious position that the whole of the US economy would ultimately be consumed by healthcare. The Society of Actuaries' Pension Section and Health Section Research teams commissioned Professor Thomas E. Getzen of Temple University to construct a resource model for the projection of long term healthcare cost trends that includes capacity constraints to ensure the long-term projection is rational. The motivation for creation of the model was driven by its potential usage as a resource for the estimation of reportable liabilities for retiree healthcare benefits as specified under FAS 106 and GASB 45 accounting statements. This is a zip file containing the following: 1. A background paper on the creation of the health trend model, 2. The model, programmed in Microsoft Excel [xls format], that projects per-person expenditures and growth rates through 2099 using baseline assumptions, but also permits the flexibility for user–inputted alternative assumptions, and 3. Technical documentation providing transparency and support for the ultimate results.